| Party | Seats | % | Change in Seats | Majority Probability | Minority Probability |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liberal | 192 | 44.4% | +39 | 93.2% | 6.3% |
| Conservative | 118 | 37.8% | -1 | 0.1% | 4.1% |
| Bloc | 26 | 6.3% | -7 | 0% | 0% |
| New Democrat | 6 | 6.7% | -19 | N/A | N/A |
| Green | 1 | 1.4% | -1 | N/A | N/A |
| People’s | 0 | 2.7% | -2.2% | N/A | N/A |
Wow. What a stunning collapse of support for PP! This poll puts the Libs chances of winning at 99.5% vs. 4.2% for the Cons. Even this polling average has their chances at 78% and still trending upward. Just polling/keep pushing (etc) but this seems like it’s Carney’s to lose at this point.
Really sucks that the NDP is at risk of losing official party status though.
Well maybe they won’t stick with a dog shit leader next time. Honestly, they need better leadership in that party. Other than Charlie Angus, who in that party has any credibility? I don’t even know anybody else in that party federally.
Glad to see the conservatives fall, sad to see the NDP drop.
I’m so glad to see this. pp is such a disgusting weasel who would sell us out for his own gain. Danielle Smith, Premiere of Alberta, said this about him:
“So I would think that there’d be, there’s probably still always going to be areas that are skirmishes or disputes about particular industries when it comes to the border, but I would say, on balance, the perspective that Pierre would bring would be very much in sync with, I think…the new direction in America,” she added. “And I think we’d have a really great relationship for the period of time they’re both in.”
Emphasis mine.
Wow rip ndp
Anyone have some free time over the next couple of weekends? Somebody needs to take over and rebuild the Green Party of Canada.
Elizabeth May, is that you?
It would help if they had any science in their platform. A “green” party that is anti-nuclear might as well be pro-global-warming.
I’m pretty sure they dropped their anti-nuclear stance.
But this election is about Canadian sovereignty. Unfortunately, smaller parties will be pushed out for now so that sovereignty can be protected. Once we keep the country and take steps to diversify away from the US, and the CPC kicks out the crazies, we can boot the Liberals and maybe the other small parties (left and right) will be inclined to work together on something groundbreaking, like electoral reform.
i am glad to see the drop in support of PP, but at the same time it is still scary that they are still polling 37% at this point.
how much bad things need to happen in order for Conservative voter to SEE it!! only -1 seat?? com’on. can we tell them that Trump is so gonna make fun of us with a PM called “PP”…on the other hand, sad to see NDP is dropping… i was hoping they will pull up too… but man … -19 is huge! I was really hoping NDP will pull up and pass Bloc at least…
let’s hope the trend will get better in the coming 30 days or so.
