•  GenEcon   ( @GenEcon@lemm.ee ) 
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    910 months ago

    I do not know a single person who uses iMessage. Europe uses Signal or WhatsApp. With an iPhone market share of 26 %, it just isn’t viable. People like to use a single (or at most 2) messaging app. No point in using iMessage.

    Even not considering this, the EU has 448 Million people and a smartphone penetration of roughly 85 %. So if every iPhone user would use iMessage, this would bring the number to 448 * 0.85 * .26 = 99 Million. I highly doubt more than half of the iPhone users use iMessage.

    • iPhones aren’t the only products that can use iMessage. You have apple watches and iPads on top of it. Which puts the potential uses way up.

      While iPhones might have a market share below 30% in the EU as a whole, the share varies a lot in individual countries. In Poland it’s just 10% while in Denmark it’s above 60%.

      And iPhones tend to appear in clusters. In my experience they aren’t evenly distributed. I know of families where everyone uses iPhones while in my family no one has. So any kind of personal experience is rather pointless.

      Until numbers are publicized, I still find it hard to believe that fewer than 45 million people use iMessage a month. I fully believe that fewer than 45 million people use it daily. So it comes down to how you define active users. And Apple will almost certainly use a strict definition of what counts as an active users to reduce the number.