• According to the Experts

    I don’t recall “the experts” guaranteeing any of the things you listed would happen.

    When I checked the weather report this morning, it said 20% chance of rain. It hasn’t rained yet, but it might later. But rain or no rain the weather report was accurate.

    If it was possible to predict the outcome of an election, there wouldn’t be any point having an election at all. The other candidates would save themselves all the money and effort by just not competing at all. Similarly, if the yes/no vote had an obvious winner it would have unilateral support by both major parties.