Good news! Roughly 1% of US people surveyed in 2025 voluntarily identified themselves as transgender, and since a great many in the US would be too scared to reveal this info about themselves, the number may be substantially higher. But let’s work with 1%.
So it would seem like cisgender folk are at least ~10x as likely as trans folk to do mass shootings :)
Do I think that being cisgender predisposes you to mass shootings? No, obviously. But the narrative being imposed in media is that being transgender does do so.
@Gladaed@feddit.org it would appear our instance is defederated from yours, so I’m unable to reply directly - no parade being rained on, you’re 100% correct and I’m quite aware of the issues with small sample sizes and small populations having wild variance.
Just an insight into my thought process, I left out discussion of any rigorous statistical analysis as I didn’t think it was necessary to get into the weeds to retort the “unless trans people are significantly greater than 0.1% then this chart isn’t a flex” statement, which read to me as dismissive of the ongoing media narrative around transgender folk at best, and transphobic at worst.
Seemed just uninformed and durdlely, but receptive to feedback. I.e. a good discussion, after all.
Defedded for tankyness/antisemitism discussion, iirc.
Or us being “pro genocide/zionosts” which was a perspective pushed by db0 and was highly contested in other instances.
Sorry to rain on your parade, but when you deal with low sample sizes you must check the T test. Just comparing centages does give bad results easily and intuition fails humans constantly.
“How Many Adults and Youth Identify as Transgender in the United States?” Does not imply there is an analysis that checks the likelihood of being a mass shooter being higher in trans individuals depending on the multiple definitions of mass shootings and after removing potential noise.
Good news! Roughly 1% of US people surveyed in 2025 voluntarily identified themselves as transgender, and since a great many in the US would be too scared to reveal this info about themselves, the number may be substantially higher. But let’s work with 1%.
So it would seem like cisgender folk are at least ~10x as likely as trans folk to do mass shootings :)
Do I think that being cisgender predisposes you to mass shootings? No, obviously. But the narrative being imposed in media is that being transgender does do so.
@Gladaed@feddit.org it would appear our instance is defederated from yours, so I’m unable to reply directly - no parade being rained on, you’re 100% correct and I’m quite aware of the issues with small sample sizes and small populations having wild variance.
Just an insight into my thought process, I left out discussion of any rigorous statistical analysis as I didn’t think it was necessary to get into the weeds to retort the “unless trans people are significantly greater than 0.1% then this chart isn’t a flex” statement, which read to me as dismissive of the ongoing media narrative around transgender folk at best, and transphobic at worst.
Seemed just uninformed and durdlely, but receptive to feedback. I.e. a good discussion, after all.
Defedded for tankyness/antisemitism discussion, iirc. Or us being “pro genocide/zionosts” which was a perspective pushed by db0 and was highly contested in other instances.
Sorry to rain on your parade, but when you deal with low sample sizes you must check the T test. Just comparing centages does give bad results easily and intuition fails humans constantly.
Or quote a rigorous source.
https://williamsinstitute.law.ucla.edu/publications/trans-adults-united-states/
Helpful, but insufficient since stats have higher standards than that.
You did not read the associated study in 3 minutes.
“How Many Adults and Youth Identify as Transgender in the United States?” Does not imply there is an analysis that checks the likelihood of being a mass shooter being higher in trans individuals depending on the multiple definitions of mass shootings and after removing potential noise.
My bad, I thought you were questioning the 1% number being the estimate of the percentage of trans people in the US.