Immigrants or refugees do not have a higher tendency to commit crime and there is no correlation between the proportion of immigrants in a given district and the local crime rate, according to a new analysis of the latest German crime statistics carried out by the renowned ifo institute.
The Munich-based institute correlated the latest national crime stats from 2018 to 2023 with location-specific data in the new study to show why the fact that immigrants are overrepresented in crime statistics had nothing to do with where they came from.
Migrants tend to settle in urban areas, where there is more population density, more nightlife, and more people in public spaces at all hours of the day. That means the general crime rate is higher, and crime suspects are just as likely to be German as of foreign background. In other words, districts with higher levels of “immigrant” crime also have higher crime rates among Germans.
“These places increase the risk of becoming perpetrators for residents, regardless of nationality, due to the infrastructure, economic situation, police presence or population density,” the study said.
How is that possible? They can’t legally work, so they must illegally work. What did I miss?
I think unreported employment is being handled by customs and the tax administration, not the police.
Also, migrants include naturalized citizens and people with permission to work.
You’re saying they just excluded the group of people who can’t work from this study?
No, they’re excluding entire classes of crimes that really don’t matter to begin with. Otherwise the crime rate of most countries is 100%
Yeah, that seems disingenuous.
I mean, crime rates are almost certainly 100%. That’s a terrible metric. The metric isn’t a percent but the number of crimes committed per month per capita.
Immigrants and migrants can legally work.
When did that change?
It hasn’t, as far as I know. I am not aware of any country that currently or historically prohibits immigrant or migrant labor.
What? This is definitely the case in the US. And I’ve read its the case in Germany.
Or are you also just excluding undocumented folks from the set of people?
Undocumented immigrants are also immigrants. They do not have permission to work legally.