• entwine ( entwine@programming.dev ) 
    link
    fedilink
    arrow-up
    7
    ·
    11 months ago

    Literacy and programming are not equivalent. Nobody needs to learn how to code unless it’s required for work. Even if AI made people able to read/write code, it would not be much of a net positive to society as there’s no indication that the demand for programmers will increase as well. If anything, AI agents/chatbots would be able to replace some categories of software (like search engines), and would thus decrease the amount of software that needs to be written overall.

    I bet if you went back a few decades to the pre-internet era and showed someone wikipedia, they’d come to similar lofty conclusions about how everyone will be able to become an expert in anything. Not to discount Wikipedia’s value today, but we aren’t living in a post-ignorance society where everyone knows everything.

    If you’re going to join the AI circlejerk, at least make sure you don’t have erectile dysfunction.

  • ulterno ( ulterno@programming.dev ) 
    link
    fedilink
    English
    arrow-up
    3
    ·
    11 months ago

    10 years down the line, more people will know some amount of coding (it’s in school curriculum nowadays).

    If the AI bubble doesn’t break, 600 years down the line, there will be lesser coder and people who make simple applications the traditional way nowadays, will be looked at, in a similar way one now looks at those bootstrapping new instructions using assembly, into compilers.

    This prediction will most probably go wrong too though. If the AI bubble doesn’t break soon enough, our civilisation bubble might end up breaking and we’d end up at 5% people being able to read and write.