please go.

  • streetfestival ( streetfestival@lemmy.ca ) 
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    9 months ago

    I was curious about how this will pan out, and found this:
    https://thetyee.ca/Analysis/2025/11/05/Has-Alberta-Separatism-Gone-Mainstream-Common-Ground/

    About 30 per cent of Albertans support or somewhat support the idea of separation, while most do not. This figure fluctuates but hasn’t changed substantially since 2019.

    The conclusion from our research is clear: the typical Albertan doesn’t want to separate but gets why others do. Supporting separatism isn’t mainstream, though being curious about it is. The bridge between those viewpoints is not a long one.

    • The real danger is voter apathy, with Albertans figuring there’s no way separation will win based on the high number of sigs on the petition so they don’t bother voting, much like Brexit.

      The last AB referendum showed 38.7% of eligible voters voted. If that number holds the same, and your number of 30% want to separate is correct, it’s over. Every single traitor is going to vote, which could result in a landslide separatist win with 77% of voters voting to separate.

        • How could they have their land voted away? AB separating just wouldn’t work, with First Nations land being just one reason. Most separatists are simply traitors who don’t understand what the consequences would be. The ones who know what they’re doing know it would never work, but that’s not the point. The point is a weakened and fractured Canada. There’s a vested interest (primarily from the US) in dividing Canada, and this is a great way to do it.

          All I’m saying is I hope Albertans don’t get complacent, and actually get out and vote at the referendum. Brexit has proven what lack of understanding and voter apathy can result in. It can just as easily happen in AB, and all it takes is Albertans not bothering to vote because “there’s no way separation will happen”.

      • streetfestival ( streetfestival@lemmy.ca ) 
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        9 months ago

        Elections have electoral districts, which is how first-past-the-post really does its damage, through gerrymandering and gaming the system for just enough votes in each district. Does the same hold true for a referendum or is that a simple tally of all provincial votes (ie, electoral districts don’t matter)

  • Nomecks ( Nomecks@lemmy.ca ) 
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    9 months ago

    There is no independant state. The choice is be part of Canada or be part of the US, and I’m not sure what in Trump’s record make people think he would treat Canadians any better than Russia treats Ukranians

  • dermanus ( dermanus@lemmy.ca ) 
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    9 months ago

    Do it. And then when it gets, at most, 30% of the vote you’ll have shot your wad and no one will give a shit about it for another generation. At least with Québec it’ll be closer to 50%.

  • OliveMoon ( OliveMoon@lemmy.ca ) 
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    9 months ago

    I am astounded! Alberta is already trying to dumb down their population, as the USA did. Alberta is trying to privatize health care, as the USA. Seriously?? This is what you want?

  • some thoughts:

    ​

    .1. It would mean fewer Conservatives in Parliament.

    ​

    .2. For those Canadians who want to become American citizens, they could move to Alberta. Indeed, Canada could invite millions of Latin Americans to become citizens of Canada, and then they go to Alberta, and when Albertans becomes American citizens, so might they.

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    .3. Alberta is nothing without fossil fuels; it’s a shit province without oil and gas: I suspect this is what many conservatives believe.

    ​

    1. A clique of Maple MAGAts take over the Albertan government, and declare independence. They might have a bogus referendum which they win. Trump’s America recognizes it, perhaps immediately, or perhaps after a while of helping it.

    If we environmentalists, or those at least a bit environmentally minded, are correct, global warming will get worse; electrification and wind and solar power will increase. No unemployment benefits or farm aid to you Albertan ingrates.

    Also, if the progressives took over the US, Congress would have only 2 Albertan senators and maybe 6 Representatives to counter them.

    ​

    .5. Texas was a Republic for almost 10 years before it joined the US. Vermont, IIRC, was a republic for ≥14 years. If Alberta joins, say, within 4 years, they might be ribbed by Americans for that.

    ​

    .6. BC could still be connected through the NWT. Planes can fly north of it. If McDonald could have a railroad built in (IIUC) the 19th century, Canada could build one in the 21st. We also have the Northwest Passage.

    (If BC joining Canada was only going to happen if a railroad was built, they might insist on a new one being built, and we might as well have freight lines, passenger lines, high-speed, a highway, and maybe others.)

  • Before everyone gets their knickers in a twist, no, the referendum question has not been approved. The application has been approved. Now they have to collect the necessary signatures. What has collected the necessary signatures and been validated by Elections Alberta is the opposite motion, “Do you agree that Alberta should remain in Canada?” By law, this has to go either to a vote in the Legislature (which is extremely unlikely) or a referendum within six months. Many people believe the UCP willl call an election rather than a referendum, as all referendum questions die when an election is called.

    • Canaconda ( Canconda@lemmy.ca ) 
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      9 months ago

      Wouldn’t an actual referendum to secede require like 1.4 million votes?

      Nevermind how Alberta doesn’t legally own the vast majority of land within it’s borders.