You might think because I so obessively share links about the war that I would be cheering for Ukraine to launch a counteroffensive into Crimea as soon as possible, but ask yourself, Is Putin personally and politically capable of domestically justifying a pre-emptive withdrawal from Crimea in order to stem a logistical hemorraghing from trying to resupply it with basic needs at the current rate of attrition? I am not sure he is, so then… what is the rush? This is actually a maximally unsustainable position for russia, if I were a russian general I would want Ukraine to invade Crimea as soon as possible to justify a wise retreat to more defensible positions.
This is going to get worse for Russia before it gets better Check out our truck fundraiser with
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14 more Russian ships were hit last night which makes 90 in the past six days. That led one Russian reporter to say, “The picture is bleak: logistics are under constant pressure, infrastructure is being hit, and supply routes are becoming more complicated.” In fact he goes on to explain how, if this continues, the Russian front lines will face a systemic supply shortage.
“If nothing changes in the coming weeks logistical losses will begin to affect the combat effectiveness of frontline units, not just in isolated cases, but systematically…” - Russian mil blogger complaining