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silence7 ( silence7@slrpnk.net ) M to Climate@slrpnk.netEnglish · 26 days ago

This Is the Future Scientists Warned About

www.nytimes.com

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This Is the Future Scientists Warned About

www.nytimes.com

silence7 ( silence7@slrpnk.net ) M to Climate@slrpnk.netEnglish · 26 days ago
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nytimes.com
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Archived copy of the article

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  • Andy ( andrewrgross@slrpnk.net ) 
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    26 days ago

    Oof. This is bitter to read.

    On a positive note, I am grateful that articles like this seem to be well past the point of ‘we need common-sense bipartisan market reforms’ and on to ‘the oligarchs are going to kill us all if we don’t stop them’. That’s a kind of progress.

  • vivacious_lullaby ( vivacious_lullaby@slrpnk.net ) 
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    26 days ago

    I can’t see it because it is behind a paywall

    • Andy ( andrewrgross@slrpnk.net ) 
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      26 days ago

      That’s weird: for me it says it’s an unlocked article. Can you check the URL again? Also, try the Archive link above. https://www.nytimes.com/2026/10/12/opinion/wildfires-firefighters-climate-change.html?unlocked_article_code=1.IFE.JHJB.EzMJvYHhK6CJ

      • vivacious_lullaby ( vivacious_lullaby@slrpnk.net ) 
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        26 days ago

        It keeps saying this basically

        • Andy ( andrewrgross@slrpnk.net ) 
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          26 days ago

          Ohhh… So you can access it, but you need to give them an email. That sucks. I did so the site apparently recognizes me. Still, I wish you didn’t have to. The summary is

  • savvie ( savvie@lemmy.zip ) 
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    26 days ago

    As out-of-control wildfires burned hundreds of homes in southern British Columbia this August, Cliff Chapman, director of operations for the province’s wildfire service, issued a sobering statement. “I cannot stress enough that the conditions we are facing right now are conditions that we have never seen before,” he told reporters.

    Mr. Chapman, who has been fighting wildfires for over 20 years, could have made the same statement from Washington State, Croatia or many other places where similarly explosive wildfires have scorched neighborhoods and forced mass evacuations. These fast-moving, virtually irrepressible events are not the seasonal burns of decades past; they are the hazard lights of a heating climate, and they are flashing furiously. Rural and urban, East and West, we are entering a new era of civilizational risk and retreat.

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As a starting point, the burning of fossil fuels, and to a lesser extent deforestation and release of methane are responsible for the warming in recent decades: Graph of temperature as observed with significant warming, and simulated without added greenhouse gases and other anthropogentic changes, which shows no significant warming

How much each change to the atmosphere has warmed the world: IPCC AR6 Figure 2 - Thee bar charts: first chart: how much each gas has warmed the world.  About 1C of total warming.  Second chart:  about 1.5C of total warming from well-mixed greenhouse gases, offset by 0.4C of cooling from aerosols and negligible influence from changes to solar output, volcanoes, and internal variability.  Third chart: about 1.25C of warming from CO2, 0.5C from methane, and a bunch more in small quantities from other gases.  About 0.5C of cooling with large error bars from SO2.

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