• Statistically they’re still less prone to accidents than human drivers.

      I never quite undestood why so many people seem to be against autonomous vehicles. Especially on Lemmy. It’s unreasonable to demand perfection before any of these is used on the public roads. In my view the bar to reach is human level driving and after that it seems quite obvious that from safety’s point of view it’s the better choice.

      • This is just such a bad take, and it’s so disappointing to see it parroted all over the web. So many things are just completely inaccurate about these “statistics”, and it’s probably why it “seems” so many are against autonomous vehicles.

        1. These are self-reported statistics coming from the very company(s) that have extremely vested interests in making themselves look good.
        2. These statistics are for vehicles that are currently being used in an extremely small (and geo-fenced) location(s) picked for their ability to be the easiest to navigate while being able to say “hey we totally work in a big city with lots of people”.
        • These cars don’t even go onto highways or areas where accidents are more likely.
        • These cars drive so defensively they literally shut down so as to avoid causing any accidents (hey, who cares if we block traffic and cause jams because we get to juice our numbers).
        1. They always use total human driven miles which are a complete oranges to apples comparison: Their miles aren’t being driven
        • In bad weather
        • On dangerous, windy, old, unpaved, or otherwise poor road conditions
        • In rural areas where there are deer/etc that wander into the road and cause accidents
        1. They also don’t adjust or take any median numbers as I’m not interested in them driving better than the “average” driver when that includes DUIs, crashes caused by neglect or improper maintenance, reckless drivers, elderly drivers, or the fast and furious types crashing their vehicle on some hill climb driving course.
        2. And that’s all just off the top of my head.

        So no, I would absolutely not say they are “less prone to accidents than human drivers”. And that’s just the statistics, to say nothing about the legality that will come up. Especially given just how adverse companies seem to be to admit fault for anything.

        • These cars don’t even go onto highways or areas where accidents are more likely.

          Accidents are less likely on highways. Most accidents occur in urban settings. Most deadly accidents occur outside of cities, off-highway.

          • Sure mile for mile they are less likely. But when they happen they are generally more serious as higher speeds are involved, and if Tesla has shown anything it’s a much more complicated process for autonomous vehicles to navigate and deal with edge cases (like vehicles on the side of the road, emergency or otherwise). Much harder (and dangerous) to just slam on the brakes and put on your hazards on a highway than a side street if the car gets confused.

                • Well, I do use a car that is able to drive (almost) autonomous on a highway, so I know that the tech to drive on highways exist since several years.

                  All the difficult stuff – slow traffic, parking cars, crossings, pedestrians… – does not exist on highways.

                  The only problem that still remains is the problem you mention: what to do in case of trouble?

                  Of course you have to stop on a highway to prevent an accident or in case of an emergency. That’s exactly what humans do. But then humans get out of the car, set up warning signs, get help &c. Cars cannot do this. The result is reported in this article.

        • Avoiding dangerous scenarios is the definition of driving safely.

          This technology is still an area under active development and nobody (not even Elon!) is claiming this stuff is ready to replace a human in every possible scenario. Are you actually suggesting they should be testing the cars in scenarios that they know wouldn’t be safe with the current technology? Why the fuck would they do that?

          So no, I would absolutely not say they are “less prone to accidents than human drivers”.

          OK… if you won’t accept the company’s reported data - who’s data will you accept? Do you have a more reliable source that contradicts what the companies themselves have published?

          to say nothing about the legality that will come up

          No that’s a non issue. When a human driver runs over a pedestrian/etc and causes a serious injury, if it’s a civilised country and a sensible driver, then an insurance company will pay the bill. This happens about a million times a week worldwide and insurance is a well established system that people are, for the most part, happy with.

          Autonomous vehicles are also covered by insurance. In fact it’s another area where they’re better than humans - because humans frequently fail to pay their insurance bill or even deliberately drive after they have been ordered by a judge not to drive (which obviously voids their insurance policy).

          There have been debates over who will pay the insurance premium, but that seems pretty silly to me. Obviously the human who ordered the car to drive them somewhere will have to pay for all costs involved in the drive. And part of that will be insurance.

          • I honestly can’t tell if that’s a passive-aggressive swipe at me or not; but just in case it was: stats mean very little w/o context. I believe the quote was “Lies, damned lies, and statistics”. I simply pointed out a few errors with the foundation of these “statistics”. I didn’t need to quote my own statistics because, as I was pointing out, this is a completely apples to oranges comparison. The AV companies want at the same time to preach about how many miles they go w/o accident while comparing themselves to an average they know doesn’t match their own circumstances. Basically they are taking their best case scenario and comparing it against average/worst case scenario stats.

            I’d give more weight to the stats if they where completely transparent, worked with a neutral 3rd party, and gave them access to all their video/data/etc to generate (at the very least) proper stats relative to their environment. Sure, I’ll way easier believe waymo/cruises’ numbers over those by tesla; but I still take it with a grain of salt. Because again, they have a HUGE incentive to tweak their numbers to put themselves in the very best light.

            • No, I see your point, and I agree. These companies are almost guaranteed to cherry-pick those stats, so only a fool would take that as hard evidence. However, I don’t think these stats flat-out lie either. If they show a self-driving car is three times less prone to accidents, I doubt the truth is that humans, in fact, are twice as good. I believe it’s safe to assume that these stats at least point us in the right direction, and that seems to correlate with the little personal experience I have as well. If these systems really sucked as much as the most hardcore AV-skeptics make it seem, I doubt we’d be seeing any of these in use on public roads because the issues would be apparent.

              However, the point I’m trying to highlight here is that I make a claim about AV-safety, and I then provide some stats to back me up. People then come telling me that’s nonsense and list a bunch of personal reasons why they feel so but provide nothing concrete evidence except maybe links to articles about individual accidents. That’s just not the kind of data that’s going to change my mind.

      • Fine by me, as long as the companies making the cars take all responsibility for accidents. Which, you know, the human drivers do.

        But the car companies want to sell you their shitty autonomous driving software and make you be responsible.

        If they don’t trust it enough, why should I?

        • Well you shouldn’t trust it and the car company tells you this. It’s not foolproof and something to be blindly relied on. It’s a system that assists driving but doesn’t replace the driver. Not in it’s current form atleast though they may be getting close.

            • Most people consider cruise control to be quite useful feature thought it still requires you to pay attention that you stay on your lane and don’t run into a slower vehicle in front of you. You can then keep adding features such as radar for adaptive cruise control and lane assist and this further decreases the stuff you need to pay attention to but you still need to sit there behind the wheel watching the road. These self-driving systems at their current form are no different. They’re just further along the spectrum towards self driving. Some day we will reach the point that you sitting on the driver’s seat just introduces noise to the system so better you go take a nap on the back seat. We’re not there yet however. This is still just super sophisticated cruise control.

              It’s kind of like with chess engines. First humans are better at it than computers. Then computer + human is better than just the computer and then at some point the human is no longer needed and computer will from there on always be better.

                • Well Cruise is offering a full self driving taxi service where they don’t mandate you as a passenger to pay attention to the traffic and take control if needed so it’s not fair to say that they don’t trust it so why should you.

                  With Tesla however this is the case but despite their rather aggresive marketing they still make it very clear that this is not finished yet and you are allowed to use it but you’re still the driver and the safe use of it is on your responsibility. That’s the case with the beta version of any software; you get it early which is what early adopters like but you’re expected to encounter bugs and this is the trade-off you have to accept.

          • The discussed incident does not involve driving assist systems, driverless autonomous taxis are already on the streets:

            A number of Cruise driverless vehicles were stopped in the middle of the streets of the Sunset District after Outside Lands in Golden Gate Park on Aug. 11, 2023.

        • take responsibility [… like] human drivers do.

          But do they really? If so, why’s there the saying “if you want to murder someone, do it in a car”?

          I do think self-driving cars should be held to a higher standard than humans, but I believe the fundamental disagreement is in precisely how much higher.

          While zero incidents is naturally what they should be aiming for, it’s more of a goal for continuous improvement, like it is for air travel.

          What liability can/should we place on companies that provide autonomous drivers that will ultimately lead to safer travel for everyone?

          • Well, the laws for sure aren’t perfect, but people are responsible for the accidents they cause. Obviously there are plenty of exceptions, like rich people, but if we’re talking about the ideal real-life scenario, there are consequences for causing an accident. Whether those consequences are appropriate or not is for another discussion.

          • While zero incidents is naturally what they should be aiming for, it’s more of a goal for continuous improvement, like it is for air travel.

            As far as I know, proper self driving (not “autopilot”) AVs are pretty close to zero incidents if you only count crashes where they are at fault.

            When another car runs a red light and smashes into the side of an autonomous vehicle at 40mph… it wasn’t the AV’s fault. Those crashes should not be counted and as far as I know they currently are in most stats.

            What liability can/should we place on companies that provide autonomous drivers that will ultimately lead to safer travel for everyone?

            I’m fine with exactly the same liability as human drivers have. Unlike humans, who are motivated to drive dangerously for fun or get home when they’re high on drugs or continue driving through the night without sleep to avoid paying for a hotel, autonomous vehicles have zero motivation to take risks.

            In the absence of that motivation, the simple fact that insurance against accidents is expensive is more than enough to encourage these companies to continue to invest in making their cars safer. Because the safer the cars, the lower their insurance premiums will be.

            Globally insurance against car accidents is approaching half a trillion dollars per year and increasing over time. With money like that on the line, why not spend a lazy hundred billion dollars or so on better safety? It won’t actually cost anything - it will save money.

            • the safer the cars, the lower their insurance premiums will be.

              Globally insurance against car accidents is approaching half a trillion dollars per year

              That… almost makes it sound like the main opposition to autonomous cars, would be insurance companies: can’t earn more by raising the premiums, if there are no accidents and a competing insurance company can offer a much cheaper insurance.

      • I saw a video years ago discussing this topic.

        How good is “good enough” for self-driving cars?

        The bar is much higher than it is for human drivers because we downplay our own shortcomings and think that we have less risk than the average driver.

        Humans can be good drivers, sure. But we have serious attention deficits. This means it doesn’t take a big distraction before we blow a red light or fail to observe a pedestrian.

        Hell, lot of humans fail to observe and yield to emergency vehicles as well.

        But none of that is newsworthy, but an autonomous vehicle failing to yield is.

        My personal opinion is that the Cruise vehicles are as ready for operational use as Teslas FSD, ie. should not be allowed.

        Obviously corporations will push to be allowed so they can start making money, but this is probably also the biggest threat to a self-driving future.

        Regulated so strongly that humans end up being the ones in the driver seat for another few decades - with the cost in human lives which that involves.

        • By definition nearly half of us are better than average drivers. Given that driving well is a matter of survival, I’ll take my own driving ability over any autonomous vehicle until they’re safer than 99% of drivers.

          • I mean, that’s an obvious one.

            But how much better would it need to be? 99.9% or 99.9999999999999999999999%, or just 99.01%

            A lot of people will have qualms as long as the chance of dying is higher than zero.

            People have very poor understanding of statistics and will cancel holidays because someone in the vicinity of where they’re going got bitten by a shark (the current 10 year average of unprovoked shark bites is 74 per year).

            Similarly we can expect people to go “I would never get into a self-driving car” when the news inevitably reports on a deadly accident even if the car was hit by a falling rock.

            And then there’s the other question:

            Since 50% of drivers are worse than the average - would you feel comfortable with those being replaced by self driving cars that were (proven to be) better than the average?

            • Given that I have no way of communicating with the driverless car and communication is often important to driving, I’d rather the kinda bad driving person. I can compensate for their bad driving when I spot it and give them room. Or sometimes i can even convey information that helps them be safer while they’re not paying attention. I’ve definitely stopped crashes that didn’t involve me using my horn.

              There’s no amount of discussion or frantic hand waving that will alter the course of an automated vehicle.

                • Once I was driving down what had become a narrow street with high snow banks when I came across an older woman stuck between the banks repeatedly backing into the door of her neighbor’s car as she tried to get out of her driveway. After watching her do this for a couple of minutes I offered to get her car straightened out for her. She was ecstatic and about 30 seconds later we were both able to go about our days.

              •  jarfil   ( @jarfil@beehaw.org ) 
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                10 months ago

                discussion or frantic hand waving

                I don’t think drivers are supposed to communicate like that… but it raises a better question: how is a cop directing draffic, supposed to communicate with a driverless car?

                If there is no mechanism in place, that’s a huge oversight… while if there is one, why didn’t use it in this case?

      • I’m not gonna join in the discussion, but if you cite numbers, please don’t link to the advertising website of the company itself. They have a strong interest in cherry picking the data to make positive claims.

          • If they do not give researchers access to the data, then I can guarantee you they are cherry picking their results. A research paper in a reputable journal would be easy publicity and create a lot of trust in the public.

      •  Baggins   ( @baggins@beehaw.org ) 
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        810 months ago

        They can’t come quick enough for me. I can go to work after a night out without fear I might still be over the limit. I won’t have to drive my wife everywhere. Old people will not be prisoners in their own homes. No more nobheads driving about with exhausts that sound like a shoot out with the cops. No more aresholes speeding about and cutting you up. No more hit and runs. Traffic accident numbers falling through the floor. In fact it could even get to a point where the only accidents are the fault of pedestrians/cyclists not looking where they are going.

        •  nous   ( @nous@programming.dev ) 
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          1610 months ago

          All of these are solved by better public transport/safe bike routes and more walkable city designs. All of which is we can do now, not rely on some new shiny tech so that we can keep car companies profits up.

        •  TehPers   ( @TehPers@beehaw.org ) 
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          410 months ago

          The day I can get in a car and not be simultaneously afraid of my own shortcomings and the fact that there are strangers driving massive projectiles around me is a day I will truly celebrate. The fact is that automobiles are weapons, and I don’t want to be the one wielding it when a single mistake can cost an entire family their lives, although I would like to be there to slam on the brakes and prevent it if needed.

        • The possibilities really are endless.

          When the light turns green the entire row of cars can start moving at the same time like on motor sports. Perhaps you don’t even need traffic lights because they can all just drive to the intersection at the same time and just keep barely missing eachother but never crash due to the superior reaction times and processing speeds of computer. You could also let your car go taxi other people around when you don’t need it.

      • It sure would be nice if the bar was the rational one of “better” but people aren’t rational. It’s literally never going to be good enough, because even if it were perfect it still can’t be used.

        • I think one of the big issues psychologically about self-driving cars that people find really hard to come to terms with is the fact that even with the best systems, accidents are bound to happen and without a driver there’s no one to blame and we hate that.

            •  TehPers   ( @TehPers@beehaw.org ) 
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              410 months ago

              I remember something about Mercedes taking liability when self driving is active, although I don’t know if that still holds. Still, this seems like something that can be approached with proper legislation, assuming we can get past the lobbying BS in the US (though the EU will probably make the right call much sooner).

              • Yep, I’m pretty confident they won’t be autonomously driving on EU roads legally until they conform to pretty strict legislation which I’m pretty sure will include the liability of the company.

                Nice of Mercedes to do the right thing without being forced to, that’s surprisingly rare.

                •  TehPers   ( @TehPers@beehaw.org ) 
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                  210 months ago

                  I believe they’re already allowed in Germany actually, although their autonomous driving feature is very limited in where it can be activated. Hopefully other vehicle manufacturers follow suit and take liability when doing autonomous driving (as opposed to “assisted driving”, which many vehicles currently have).

        •  gelberhut   ( @gelberhut@lemdro.id ) 
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          410 months ago

          some are, some are not, but they happen.

          my point was, there are some cases where human drivers act better (yet), but there are a lot of other cases where they act worse (for many different reasons). And if a single indirectly lethal case means that “Those damn things are not ready to be used on public roads.”, then human drivers are not ready either - they are responsible for much more lethal cases (per whatever unit you count).