Assuming Trump will be around. His cognitive decline has been steep, and he’s just been a convenient vehicle for others to gain power. I wouldn’t be surprised if they invoked the 25th Amendment.
Yeah, but which one gets to rule next? That’s why monarchy has been so successful - the king’s firstborn my be a moron, but there’s (roughly) guaranteed only one, and palace intrigue under a difficult-to-directly-challenge figurehead is a Nash equilibrium.
Unless he dies in the first year or two it doesn’t change the possible outcomes too much, I don’t think he’ll be immediately ousted and things go back to normal, which is kind of what you’re getting at.
In the US? Probably Hungary, with a bit of Germany or Chile mixed in because Trump is too dumb to be Orban successfully.
The exact breakdown between the two is hard to say in advance.
Assuming Trump will be around. His cognitive decline has been steep, and he’s just been a convenient vehicle for others to gain power. I wouldn’t be surprised if they invoked the 25th Amendment.
Yeah, but which one gets to rule next? That’s why monarchy has been so successful - the king’s firstborn my be a moron, but there’s (roughly) guaranteed only one, and palace intrigue under a difficult-to-directly-challenge figurehead is a Nash equilibrium.
Unless he dies in the first year or two it doesn’t change the possible outcomes too much, I don’t think he’ll be immediately ousted and things go back to normal, which is kind of what you’re getting at.