• dryfter ( dryfter@lemm.ee ) 
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        1 year ago

        From my standpoint as an American citizen of at least 3 generations, I don’t think balkanization will be happen here, just because the divisions aren’t neatly aligned as of 2020. image

        Cities tend to be Democrat, rural areas tend to be Republican – regardless of state. It’s not like the Civil War where it was more easily divided.

        What’s more likely to happen is a full on economic collapse soon. Where things go from there is anyone’s guess – but I don’t see balkanization as a part of it. If Trump and team declare martial law and start doing even more human atrocities it might be the spark for WW3. Does that happen before China attacks Taiwan and start WW3?

        Regardless of what happens, this is going to be ugly and a whole lot of people are going to die.

        • Grapho ( Grapho@lemmy.ml ) 
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          1 year ago

          If the US balkanizes, “Democrat” and “Republican” isn’t where the split will happen. Less than half the voting population even identifies with either party, ffs.

          There’s plenty of cultural, religious and legal splits that could lead to a split. California is the obvious example, which would have to split with or take over Nevada and Colorado for the river and the dam. Texans has never been shy about longing for their own microstate and the swamp south has about as much in common with Seattle or Illinois as they do with British Columbia, if that.

    • IttihadChe ( IttihadChe@lemmy.ml ) 
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      1 year ago

      Ukraine/Russia war (Europe). Israeli genocide of Palestine. Hezb/houthi resistance to Israel. Whatever is going on in Syria. (Middle East). Sudanese genocide with similar small resistance pockets. (Africa). Now India and Pakistan (asia).

      We are in the early stages of WW3. Loose allyships are already being revealed.

      With the widening rift between the US and China, I imagine Taiwan will become a hot issue soon as well.

      That’s probably the tipping point at which, allyships will start to be formed more concretely as China has been trying to stay out of things for the most part so far.

  • edel ( edel@lemmy.ml ) 
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    1 year ago

    First thing first, the Pakistani PM does not have any authority and overwhelming of Pakistanis detest him. Pakistan is being rule exclusively by the military after the imprisonment of the leader who undisputedly won the elections, Mr Khan.

    Now this conflict puzzles me. I don´t think Trump could care much about the region so probably not behind it. Israel certainly likes the current military rule in Pakistan so probably will use its resources in Washington to stop it… Israel for sure would not allow Imran Khan to take the Pakistani leadership again.

    Now, I am sure US arms industry wants conflict in South Asia to compensate the winding down in Ukraine and the US establishment is excited to drive India more dependent in the US’ weaponry for safety and away from China (that has a stake too in Kashmir.)

    One possible theory is that Israel thinks it can provide intel to India about Pakistani nuclear weapons and then for its operatives to get rid of Mr Khan before gets the legitimate power back… but I find it too risky…who knows. I don´t think even the Pakistani nuclear weapons are in working condition with the current Pakistani government that US fully vetted before it took power.

    • Umbrias ( Umbrias@beehaw.org ) 
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      1 year ago

      have you considered for a moment, i know it’s crazy, that two authoritarian states historically gnashing at the bit to go to war might be doing this of their own volition?

    • nargis ( nargis@lemmy.dbzer0.com ) 
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      1 year ago

      No proof it was a false flag. This is nonsense, and worse, it is despicable, insensitive nonsense. Lashkar e Toiba is a Pakistani terrorist group. Ajmal Kasab (one of the terrorists in the 2008 Mumbai attacks) had a relative who fought in the Afghanistan as a Mujahideen, and he was trained in similar camps in Pakistan. Bin Laden was found near a Pakistani military academy. David Headley claimed the Pakistani intelligence agency was involved in the Mumbai attacks. The attack in Pahalgam was evidently done by Pakistan, as it doesn’t fit the pattern of indigenous Kashmiri militants. Even in the height of militancy, tourists were not targeted as it alienated the business class and local Kashmiris reliant on tourism. This was an implicit agreement. What’s more, Kashmiris came out in huge numbers condemning terrorism for the first time on the streets. You show your ignorance again.

      India claims to have hit terrorist bases. Pakistani media has already started spreading fake news. It’s best to wait it out as propaganda and emotionally charged lies meant to provoke both sides will start pouring in. So stop spreading lies.