• It isn’t irrelevant at all, obviously population size is one of the most important variables when it comes to gold medals, another one is availability of winter sports, another is national wealth and investment in sports & athletes.

      It’s a good thing that Nazi USA didn’t top the table. It is a disgrace that Israel was allowed to compete. The IOC is complicit with genocide.

      • Denjin ( Denjin@feddit.uk ) 
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        7 months ago

        The article ignores every other factor and purely focuses on population size, economics will always defeat population size when it comes to finding and developing elite athletes.

        And please can we go just five minutes without bringing nazis and genocide into every conversation, it’s exhausting.

        • can we go just five minutes without bringing nazis and genocide into every conversation, it’s exhausting.

          If you don’t like it, do something about it. It’s good that it makes you uncomfortable. That’s a message from your conscience, maybe you could act on it.

        • Zombie ( Zombie@feddit.uk ) 
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          Norway (GDP: $480,000 - 550,000; PPP: $510,000 - 620,000) beats US (GDP: $28,750,000 - 31,820,000; PPP: $25,680,000 - 31,820,000)

          Norway (GDP per capita: $86,700 - 96,600; PPP per capita: $91,100 - 109,500) beats US (GDP per capita: $84,800 - 92,800; PPP per capita: $75,500 - 92,900)

          18 gold and 41 total versus 12 gold and 33 total.

          Norway (1 gold for $5,100 per capita) beats US (1 gold for $7,400 per capita).

          Is that better? Or does that make silly confusing headlines for the average person?

          Unfortunately Nazis and genocide are a reality of life today, well done you if you can insulate yourself in a bubble to ignore it but that won’t last long if they’re allowed to proliferate.

          They use propaganda to push the narrative that the US is the best at everything, since about as long as anyone alive can remember. I think we can excuse The Guardian doing the same in the opposite direction to push the narrative that they’re not the best, and that in fact a social democratic country is better.

      • Ontimp ( Ontimp@feddit.org ) 
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        7 months ago

        It would be interesting to actually do the math regarding how much of a predictor population size is.

        I’d guess that beyond a relatively low saturation level of a few millions you get enough people with raw talent in each given population that the other factors you listed (funding, methods, support structures, etc.) make the actual difference

        • Denjin ( Denjin@feddit.uk ) 
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          7 months ago

          According to this study: https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/10.1111/ssqu.13436

          Population size is of second tier importance behind economic factors, and the effect isn’t linear, but an “inverted u” where tiny nations suffer, mid-size to larger nations do better but very large countries fall off due to lack of resources to continually scale investment into ever larger talent pools.

          The winter Olympics throws the economic needs of elite sport into sharp focus because unlike athletics, most winter sports require more money for equipment, facilities, training etc to develop high end athletes, poorer countries punch above their weight in things like long-distance running where it’s relatively cheap to train an athlete compared to alpine skiing or ice hockey. Hence why the winter Olympics is dominated by wealthy countries almost all of which are either in Europe, North America or China/Korea/Japan.

          The only outliers to that are Brazil who had a downhill skier who competed his whole career for Norway before retiring and deciding to compete again under a different flag and Kazakhstan who (no disrespect to his performance) won because the favourites all unexpectedly messed up.

        • I don’t think so, really. Professional athletes sometimes have rare mutations which give them an advantage in their sport. More population is always going to yield more potential. Investment is obviously critical too, but investment also scales with population size, so you could say it’s a second-order effect somewhat.

          • Ontimp ( Ontimp@feddit.org ) 
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            7 months ago

            But consider this:

            Let’s say the raw talent in e.g. Skeleton bob are normally distributed around the world.

            So of the top 10000 most talented people in Skeleton, about 1700 of those would be born in China, about 6 in Norway - a factor of about 280x difference.

            So to offset the ‘natural talent’ disadvantage of low population size, Norway would need to be 280x more effective in discovering the talent available in their population than China.

            And I think that’s pretty reasonable to suppose; consider e.g. likelihood of being exposed to a highly specific winter sport in your youth, likelihood of living in a geographical area where talent could show itself (i.e. the mountains), likelihood your family has the material means to support a niche winter sport in the first place until you are discovered, etc.

            By my rough estimate, any of these likelihoods are way higher for any given Norwegian child due to cultural, socio-economic and other structural factors.

            So while e.g. China might have the greater raw pool of talent in Skeleton compared to Norway, at the end of the day, Norway probably offsets this through better talent discovery in this niche discipline. So the raw talent of the roster of people walking into the Olympic training camps is likely pretty comparable.

            (Note that this argument is not about China, Norway, or Skeleton specifically but about nieces and structural filters in talent discovery. In a discipline like 200m free style swimming where China has massive discovery potential the numbers of course weigh considerably heavier)

    • Skua ( Skua@kbin.earth ) 
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      To be fair, Europe gets a bit overrepresented in that regard because it can send loads of athletes as separate countries. To take the men’s mass start speed skating final as an example, ten of the sixteen competitors were from the EU, but it would only be allowed to send two as a single country

      On the other hand, Norway alone beat everyone of course, and European countries are eight of the top ten on the medal table

    • Ontimp ( Ontimp@feddit.org ) 
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      But the US only completed as one country in each discipline while each country in Europe has the chance to earn a medal for ‘Europe’. To make it comparable, either

      1. each US state would have needed to field their own team and you average over the number of teams or

      2. EU and the US would have needed to compete with one team each per competition

      that said, Europe is indeed very successful at the Olympics per capita

  • jagermo ( jagermo@feddit.org ) 
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    They have a fantastic, data driven training in all their sports. They rock Triathlon, no surprise that they also do well in the Olympics. Very earned, those people work hard for their success

    • Denjin ( Denjin@feddit.uk ) 
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      Norway also target sports that have large numbers of available medals that they also have a historic affinity with ie cross country skiing (36 medals total, 14 won), biathlon (33 total, 11 won), ski jump (19 total, 5 won).

      Norway is also incredibly wealthy and invests very heavily in its winter Olympic athletes where USA, obviously dramatically richer has to spread its resources across winter Olympics, summer Olympics and a whole host of sports that aren’t even in the Olympics.

  • Its sad that the federal liberals in Canada spent so much effort to build up a strong Olympic team only for the Stephen Harper to sell it all off after the 2010 Olympics.

    Canada should absolutely dominate at the Olympics, but a decade of the single worst Prime Minister in Canadian history, then a decade of feels over facts has left us in a sprry place.

    Congrats to Norway