• CountVlad47 ( CountVlad47@feddit.org ) 
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    28 days ago

    I know this is a bit of a spicy take and I hope it doesn’t age like milk, but this may not be the worst thing for Germany long-term. Far-right populist parties often do a bad job once they get into power. If they screw up running Saxony-Anhalt over the next three years it may put voters off voting for them in the next federal election.

    • ExLisper ( ExLisper@lemmy.curiana.net ) 
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      28 days ago

      Orban governed for, what? 16 years? PiS in Poland won the last presidential elections and is on track to be back in power in couple of years. Modi has 70% approval rating. Meloni is still leading in polls. Milei won midterms a year ago. So… not sure if what you’re describing really happens that often.

    • GregorGizeh ( GregorGizeh@lemmy.zip ) 
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      28 days ago

      Literally the only possible ray of sunshine on this rainy day. And that maybe, after all this time, the fucking cdu gets the message that being afd lite will not help them get votes.

      • @TheBrideWoreCrimson @CountVlad47
        They’re all cults. Trump, Reform/Farage, Le Pen, etc.
        The flimsiest of any rational reason to vote for them, doesn’t matter, it’s the hate & the blame, particularly of groups that can’t answer back or defend themselves. That infuses a deep, intoxicating & irresistible feeling of power & invincibility.

    • majster ( majster@lemmy.zip ) 
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      28 days ago

      Proportional system usually results in coalition government so the radicals are forced to mellow out. Keeping AfD out of coalition by firewall might do much more harm than good in the long run. This kind of result emboldens them to stay extremist.

      • Kissaki ( Kissaki@feddit.org ) 
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        27 days ago

        History and research shows the opposite to be true. Coalition, talking, taking over their topics, anything legitimizing strengthens them. The only effective counter is a broad rejection across politics, society, including companies, religious institutions etc, and press.

        • majster ( majster@lemmy.zip ) 
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          27 days ago

          Any examples? In our national parliament radical left mellowed out after joining coalition. It turns out talking big from opposition is cheap. I think current Italian government is also a case of this.

          • Kissaki ( Kissaki@feddit.org ) 
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            20 days ago

            I’ve read an article previously. I don’t think I’ll be able to find it again.

            I guess that’s the two possible roads. Integrate into the system with compromise, becoming mellow, or get legitimized by others to be strengthened as an extremist, eventually grabbing power.

    • 5715 ( 5715@feddit.org ) 
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      28 days ago

      the fascists likely didn’t get a super majority, but might be in that state’s government as major coalition partner anyway.

      long term: political disorder within germany’s inter-state federal politics, possible political firewall (“Brandmauer”) against an entire federal state, possible conflict with NATO over logistics, Germany “being busy with itself” etc…

  • plyth ( plyth@feddit.org ) 
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    28 days ago

    The minimum information about the BSW while it would be the most relevant. After being treated badly by all other parties, e.g. no recount in the federal election to verify their narrow 5% miss, the other parties rely on them to form a government. Do they support it or will there be new elections?

    Also no word about the narrowness of a potential disaster. Without the 5% for the BSW, the AfD was only lacking one seat for a majority. There was the risk of one CDU member changing sides to make an AfD government possible.

    • poVoq ( poVoq@slrpnk.net ) 
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      27 days ago

      That election recount was decided by a court, not “other parties”, and the BSW leadership is openly advocating for cooperation with the AfD, so your argument about them preventing an AfD government holds little water.

      • plyth ( plyth@feddit.org ) 
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        27 days ago

        BSW made a formal mistake. The other parties still could have ordered a recount.

        BSW says no coalition but I think a government with BSW would be more social than a AfD government with one switching CDU member. Now they need 3.

        Der BSW-Spitzenkandidat in Sachsen-Anhalt, Thomas Schulze, bezieht dagegen klar Stellung: “Die AfD ist für die Senkung von Steuern bei Reichen, ist für das traditionelle Rollenbild der Familie, die AfD ist klar für die Wiedereinführung der Wehrpflicht. Das sind alles Themen, die konträr zu unseren sind. Und deshalb brauchen wir uns über eine Koalition mit der AfD gar nicht weiter zu unterhalten.”

        https://www.mdr.de/nachrichten/deutschland/politik/afd-bsw-kooperation-landtagswahlen-100.html

        • poVoq ( poVoq@slrpnk.net ) 
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          27 days ago

          A minority AfD government that sometimes depends on 3 CDU members and sometimes 3 BSW members can pretty much do what it wants because those two parties have different red lines and can be played against each other.

          • plyth ( plyth@feddit.org ) 
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            27 days ago

            Sorry, I didn’t mean constantly switching but a member or three who change sides permanently. If the CDU is serious about the firewall then they will exclude the ones who vote for AfD topics.

            • poVoq ( poVoq@slrpnk.net ) 
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              27 days ago

              Not every vote is public and kicking someone out of the party against their will takes time and doesn’t make them lose their seat in the parliment.

      • hobata ( hobata@lemmy.ml ) 
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        27 days ago

        Wow, I didn’t realize the bundestag’s election committee is a ‘court’ now. I naively assumed it was just other parties MPs protecting their seats.