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Cake day: January 9th, 2024

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  • That’s the attitude that lost Democrats 2016, 2020, and 2024. (They only managed to win in 2020 because of covid.)

    People consistently underestimated Trump. It’s the same thing that caused people to underestimate Bush. Both sound like morons when they talk, so people thought they were harmless morons. And then look what happened.

    Just because someone is evil, does not mean they are stupid. Trump managed to read the electorate and determine how to appeal to voters better than hundreds of millions of dollars worth of Democratic consultants. He has far better political instincts than anyone currently leading the Democratic party.

    Do not underestimate your opponent. That is what got us into this mess in the first place. People kept telling themselves, “there’s no way this blubbering idiot could possibly win.” And then he did.



  • When people say things like hair plugs are gender-affirming care, they’re really showing they don’t get the concept. Gender-affirming care is just that - something that affirms your gender. Male-pattern baldness is a male secondary sex characteristic. Reversing it is anti-gender-affirming care, if anything. Nothing wrong with getting hair plugs if you want, but hair plugs are not gender-affirming care. They’re just cosmetic surgery.

    Breast reduction for cis men? That would be gender affirming. Breast enlargement for cis women? Also gender affirming.

    If a cis person gets a treatment that reinforces the secondary sex characteristics of their natal sex, then that treatment is gender-affirming care. Not every cosmetic treatment is gender-affirming care.




  • They’re using a bullshit slight-of-hand to claim they’re not spending government money on it.

    They’re planning on using coins seized from criminals. But normally those coins would be sold, and the proceeds from that sale would go to the US Treasury. Instead, they’re going to seize them and just hold onto them.

    It’s the same thing. Whether you spend government money to purchase coins and hold them, or you simply hold seize coins, both of these options result in the same increase in the US national debt.

    And ultimately it is simply a method of propping up the crypto bubble. They want the US government to be the ultimate “diamond hands” hoarder of crypto. Every time some dark web drug site gets shut down, any coins they hold will be thrown into a government vault, never to be seen again. This effectively removes them from circulation, decreasing the supply, and forcing crypto prices higher. This is taking billions from the Treasury to prop up the crypto market.







  • It’s almost like the government has already spent decades wringing every last penny of fraud prevention out of the only programs these type of goon wants to cut. Any kind of welfare that benefits regular people has deliberately onerous applications and continual verification. You can cancel these programs entirely, but there’s little actual fraud there to find in Medicaid, food stamps, etc. There’s actually millions of people who would qualify for these programs that aren’t on them due to the difficulties of the application process.

    There is plenty of fraud to be found, but it’s all in the contraction, consulting, and acquisition sides of the budget. There’s plenty of fat to be wrung out of military contractors or contractors like SpaceX. Look at the debacle of the pandemic business-aid loans. But this is the type of waste and fraud that Musk and Trump love. It personally benefits them and everyone in the cabinet. They could find fraud here, but they’re not interested in that type of fraud.


  • You know, if only there were someone who could actually do something about it…

    It’s not like tariffs are part of the president’s innate Constitutional powers. They’re part of Congress’s powers. Implementing a tariff is supposed to require an act of Congress.

    However, Congress passed legislation long ago that allowed the president, in an emergency, to make limited targeted tariffs for national security reasons. If we’re suddenly at war with someone, we probably don’t want to be trading vital raw materials with them. In a Pearl Harbor scenario, it made sense for the president to be able to instantly cut someone like Japan off from US exports. That’s what this power the president is using is meant for. But Trump has been abusing the Hell out of this power, declaring everything a national security matter. He implemented blanket steel and aluminum tariffs, as if every nation on Earth is a national security threat to the US.

    Congress could easily fix this. They could pass legislation that severely curtailed the president’s ability to raise tariffs, and reclaim the power that is rightfully theirs. And if Republicans cooperated, they could easily do so at a veto-proof margin.

    So McConnell, don’t just bitch about it. If you really hate the tariffs, do something about it.


  • Enough doomposting. Fatalism is fatal. Even if you’re right, would you rather go down fighting or wait for the knock on the door to come to you? Here are some tangible things Dem reps can actually do right now, even as a minority party. These are the things voters should be demanding of them, other than just vague calls to “do something”:

    1. Grind the Senate to a halt. Not one Dem vote for any confirmation. Filibuster everything. Put holds on everything.
    2. Not one Democratic vote for a continuing resolution or debt ceiling increase without major concessions. The federal government is better shut down than run by Trump/Musk.
    3. Participate directly in street protests. Sitting reps can participate in these with little risk for arrest or assault by cops, and they have the resources and clout to not be destroyed by being arrested.
    4. Purge anyone who dares utter the word “bipartisanship” from the party. Anyone who votes on a single Republican bill should be ineligible for a penny of Dem campaign funds come the next cycle and should lose any committee seats they have.

    These are the things we should be demanding of Democratic representatives right now. Give up on the doomerism. If you want to crawl into a hole and die, fine. Go do it and quit bitching.

    Oh, and quit trying to relitigate the prior election. Yes, there were errors on both sides of the left. The centrists should have stopped the genocide, and the Palestine supporters should have voted for Kamala anyway. It’s a moot point now. We have bigger problems to worry about, and picking at these old wounds does nothing but divide the left further.


  • I don’t think many people actually thought Trump would be an improvement, aside from the Christian nationalists.

    When your life is misery, a chance, any chance, no matter how small, can often be or at least seem worth it. Rents are through the roof, pay is stagnant, health insurance is complete scam, and people have lost any hope of improving their lives. For tens of millions of people, the probability of them ever actually improving their lot in life is next to zero.

    Someone comes along and says, “I’ll smash the current order to pieces and reshuffle the entire deck.”

    Imagine you’re a person in desperate straits. You think that overall, that potential leader will be a net negative society. But in the current system, the probability of anything improving in your life is zero. With a complete shuffling of the societal deck, well your odds aren’t great, but they are non-zero. You’re not going to end up an oligarch, but maybe you’ll be one of the minority that ends up slightly better off. After all, some ordinary German citizens did actually materially benefit from the Nazis. Most didn’t, but some got lucky.

    This is why many people aside from Christian nationalists voted for Trump. The saw him as someone would would come along and knock over the Jenga tower of the existing sociopolitical order. They knew that the odds of their life being directly improved by this were slim. But they thought a slim chance was still there. And if nothing else, it would punish the bastards who have been keeping them down for years.

    This is the fatal flaw with milquetoast Democratic centrism. It ignores that if you go long enough without actually helping millions of people who really need help, eventually those desperate people will vote to burn it all down out of sheer spite.

    Is such a vote rational? No. But human beings are not rational. Human beings are not perfect utilitarian optimization engines. They vote with their hearts and souls, with both hope and rage. And that is what Democrats have repeatedly failed to realize.



  • I think you fail to understand that 2024 was not the anomaly. 2020 was the anomaly. The Democratic Party, as it exists now, is fundamentally incapable of winning a presidential election. They are as incapable of it as the Libertarian or the Green Parties are. We currently have only a single viable party for the US presidential election.

    DNC milquetoast centrism has been electorally dead since at least 2012. It failed in 2016, 2020, and 2024. Biden only managed to win in 2020 not because of his platform or message, but simply because of covid. Make no mistake, if not for covid, Trump would have easily won in 2020. They’ve been selling the same slop since Clinton ran in 1992. And the brand is old and tired.

    There weren’t actually that many people who wanted to stop the Palestinian genocide but then voted for Trump. The vast, vast majority of the people you saw pleading online for Biden to do something ended up voting for Kamala. I certainly did.

    Did Trump make inroads among the Muslim community? Sure. But he also made inroads among the Hispanic community. The anti-trans ads got way more Muslim votes for Trump than Biden’s Gaza policy ever did. The truth is just as plenty of Hispanic voters will vote for an anti-immigrant candidate, plenty of Muslim voters will vote for an anti-Palestine candidate. Palestine is just one of many nations in the Middle East. It’s supremely racist to lump all Muslims together as a single monolith and think all they care about is Palestine.

    People were pleading with Kamala to make a change because it was one of the few opportunities she had to actually win the race. The DNC centrism is a politically dead philosophy. A radical departure from past policies was needed to give her any chance of victory. Making a hard break from Israel was just such a chance. It was one of the few slim chances she had to actually pull off this win. People were pleading with her to change policy on Gaza because they were trying to help her win. But she ignored them, and she also failed to make any meaningful change on any other substantial issue. Because of that she lost.

    Kamala didn’t lose because of Gaza. She was already destined to lose before Gaza. But changing policy on Gaza was a squandered opportunity that could have saved her otherwise doomed campaign. It was an opportunity to make a clear sign saying, “I’m something new, let’s strike a new course.” But she decided to campaign with Liz Cheney instead. And she secured her place in Hell because of it.