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Napovointerco might be enacted.
I don’t see how. According to Wikipedia, states with 203 electoral votes have passed legislation - but states with pending legislation only bring in another 65 votes, which is still short of the 270 votes needed - and that’s only if all the states with pending legislation pass it instead of sending it back to committee, deferring it, or outright defeating it.
It may pass eventually, but I certainly don’t see it happening before next year’s elections.
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He might be federally barred from office. On March 4, 2024, his insurrection trial will start and if he is found guilty it would be very difficult for any legal system to state he can still hold federal office.
Federal courts might call this a non-justiciable political question. Individual states might bar him from the ballot, but good luck getting a lot of red states to do that.
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I doubt it. Polls conducted this early aren’t worth much. People who tend to vote for Democrats may wish for a younger candidate than Biden, but when confronted in the voting booth with a choice of fascism or Biden, most will choose Biden.
That same line of thinking got him in the first time.
To be fair nobody thought he would have fascist policies in 2016. Just that he was dumb and incompetent.
A lot of folks thought he would push fascist policies, though? He was notable for his nativist and protectionist rhetoric on the campaign trail. The audacity of it all is what got him all that free print and airtime.
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This is blatantly not true. It’s what won him the election.
I’m not suggesting people get complacent. We gotta vote like our democracy depends on preventing another Trump term, because it does.
And gloom & doom about how Trump is polling or Biden is polling, a year in advance of the election, can make people give up and not vote.
Just pointing out that polls aren’t very reliable. “Red Wave 2022” back in 2021, remember?
Yeah but then people thought they were punishing the DNC then by not voting or going third-party. Those people either learned the DNC is pos but better than trump or still vote third-party.
Probably. I don’t follow US politics closely, but it does feel like we’re in the darkest timeline.
Besides, he kind of goatse-d the overton window. Nothing would surprise me now that it’s already happened once.
Besides, he kind of goatse-d the overton window.
There’s an image I’ll have trouble getting out if my head.
Probably. It’s america after all
He doesn’t have a chance in the popular vote. He already lost it once (twice, technically). And with how polarizing he’s become, only the more extreme fringe actors are outright supporting him, and those with real money want a “safe” candidate that allows them to keep grifting behind the scenes without causing such a big ruckus. He’ll lose a lot of big donor support, and people are growing tired of the constant outrage news that he generates.
We’ve seen how he performs a symphony of a clusterfuck in a 4 year term, and not even the GOP itself is jumping right at the idea of embracing another 4 years of that struggle- they’re waffling at the idea, and a lot of the extremist upstarts that got a foothold under Trump now want to knock him out of it so they can have their own moment of glory. But Trump was a one-time shot. He was THE face of “The Big Businessman, doing a Business” that appealed to the older, more bootstrapy kind of crowd that still unfortunately dominates the actively voting public. All the younger extremists are trying to parrot him and can’t quite get away with the same level of “crazy” energy without looking actually crazy, since they don’t have the gold-plated toilet of “American Success” to back them up.But regardless of that, will every hard-right extremist fight tooth and nail to ensure he still wins, including but not limited to high treason, rushed gerrrymandering, voter intimidation (or outright slaughter) and the active dismantling of every aspect of democracy down to the local voter box level? You bet your ass they’re gonna try here.
I’m going to say no. The loudest people don’t always seem to make it to the polls. Here in Illinois, we heard lots of hate for Pritzker. Anti JB signs everywhere. Only 58% turned out to vote and Pritzker was declared the winner within hours of the polls opening
I’m hesitant to laugh it off and say “there’s no way”.
Yeah, that was me in 2016. Colour me surprised
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The stock market is a mood ring for rich people, not anything to do with everyday Americans and everyday Americans are struggling more with food and rent, even car prices have skyrocketed. The Saudis and a bunch of other oil producing countries would really like to have their good buddy back in office and they’ve already said they plan to hike gas prices next summer to try to influence people away from Biden; his support for Israel is only going to exacerbate the situation. And Russia will spend lots of money to get their Russian puppet back in office, and to get more Russian puppets into Congress - not just for the chance to break the US, but also to break NATO, damage the UN and the EU, and finalize their Ukrainian land grab.
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Kind of hoping Russia gets what they want and the US Balkanizes. It wouldn’t make the world a safer place but it would make me feel a little better temporarily. Then we can all finally stop talking about it and move on to the next topic.
There is a strong movement to hold a constitutional convention before the next election. It is backed by a right wing group called ALEC. They think they have a loophole to make it happen and the new speaker of the house backs the idea. I think if they had a wider majority it would already be happening. They will rewrite the rules to ensure a hard right anti-civil rights candidate wins.
I think it’s a coin flip. You could point to ten reasons it’s “obvious” Trump will win and I could give you ten reasons it’s “obvious” he won’t.
Yeah. I do think he will. Most people I know are pro Trump and have been consistently and vocally since last election.
You need to meet new people.
I think it’s a bit early to make any kind of educated speculation and wild speculation just isn’t really all that helpful for anyone.
Never underestimate the stupidity of voters.
considering that he doesnt have the nomination, no. he may not get the nomination. if he does? oh yeah.
