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Spectre ( Confidant6198@lemmy.ml )  to Asklemmy@lemmy.ml · 3 years ago

Do you think that Trump will win the 2024 election?

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Do you think that Trump will win the 2024 election?

Spectre ( Confidant6198@lemmy.ml )  to Asklemmy@lemmy.ml · 3 years ago
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  • MJBrune ( MJBrune@beehaw.org ) 
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    • danhakimi ( danhakimi@kbin.social ) 
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      3 years ago

      He might be federally barred from office. On March 4, 2024, his insurrection trial will start and if he is found guilty it would be very difficult for any legal system to state he can still hold federal office.

      Federal courts might call this a non-justiciable political question. Individual states might bar him from the ballot, but good luck getting a lot of red states to do that.

      • MJBrune ( MJBrune@beehaw.org ) 
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    • athos77 ( athos77@kbin.social ) 
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      3 years ago

      Napovointerco might be enacted.

      I don’t see how. According to Wikipedia, states with 203 electoral votes have passed legislation - but states with pending legislation only bring in another 65 votes, which is still short of the 270 votes needed - and that’s only if all the states with pending legislation pass it instead of sending it back to committee, deferring it, or outright defeating it.

      It may pass eventually, but I certainly don’t see it happening before next year’s elections.

      • MJBrune ( MJBrune@beehaw.org ) 
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    • Bitrot ( Bitrot@lemmy.sdf.org ) 
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      • MJBrune ( MJBrune@beehaw.org ) 
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